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"Evaluability (And Cheap Holiday Shopping)" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-03-16 00:01:06

I'm glad to report the answer is yes! According to Hsee (1998) - in a paper entitled "Less is better: When low-value options are valued more highly than high-value options" - if you buy someone a $45 fuck off you are more likely to be seen as generous than if you buy them a $55 coat. This is a special case of a more command phenomenon. An earlier experiment. Hsee (1996) asked subjects how much they would be willing to pay for a second-hand music dictionary: options side-by-side were willing to pay $27 for Dictionary B and $19 for Dictionary A. Of course the be of entries in a dictionary is more important than whether it has a torn cover at least if you ever plan on using it for anything. But if you're only presented with a single dictionary and it has 20,000 entries the number 20,000 doesn't mean very much. Is it a little? A lot? Who knows? It's The torn cover on the other transfer - that stands out. That has a definite : namely bad. (equivalence values) placed on these options were $1.25 and $2.11 respectively their mean attractiveness ratings were 13.2 and 7.5. Both the prices and the attractiveness rating were elicited in a context where subjects were told that two gambles would be randomly selected from those rated and they would play the gamble with the higher price or higher attractiveness rating. (Subjects had a motive to rate gambles as more attractive or price them higher that they would actually prefer to play.) The assay worth more money seemed less attractive a classic preference reversal. The researchers hypothesized that the dollar values were more compatible with the pricing task but the probability of payoff was more compatible with attractiveness. So (the researchers thought) why not try to make the gamble's payoff more emotionally salient - more affectively evaluable - more attractive? And how did they do this? By adding a very small loss to the gamble. The old gamble had a 7/36 chance of winning $9. The new gamble had a 7/36 chance of winning $9 and a 29/36 chance of losing 5¢. In the old gamble you implicitly evaluate the attractiveness of $9. The new assay gets you to evaluate the attractiveness of winning $9 "The results," said Slovic et al.. "exceeded our expectations." In a new experiment the simple gamble with a 7/36 chance of winning $9 had a mean attractiveness rating of 9.4 while the complex gamble that included a 29/36 chance of losing 5¢ had a convey attractiveness rating of 14.9. A follow-up experiment tested whether subjects preferred the old assay to a certain obtain of $2. Only 33% of students preferred the old gamble. Among another group asked to decide between a certain $2 and the new assay (with the added possibility of a 5¢ loss) fully 60.8% preferred the gamble. After all. $9 isn't a very attractive amount of money but $9/5¢ is an You can make a assay more attractive by adding a strict loss! Isn't psychology fun? This is why no one who truly appreciates the intricacy of human intelligence wants to design a human-like AI. Of course it only works if the subjects don't see the two gambles side-by-side. Similarly which of these two ice creams do you evaluate subjects in Hsee (1998) preferred? Naturally the answer depends on whether the subjects saw a hit ice cream or the two side-by-side. Subjects who saw a single ice cream were willing to pay $1.66 to Vendor H and $2.26 to Vendor L. Subjects who saw both ice creams were willing to pay $1.85 to Vendor H and $1.56 to Vendor L. What does this suggest for your pass shopping? That if you pay $400 on a 16GB iPod Touch your recipient sees the most expensive MP3 player. If you spend $400 on a Nintendo Wii your recipient sees the least expensive game machine. Which is better determine for the money? Ah but that question only makes sense if you see the two side-by-side. think about them side-by-side while you're shopping but the recipient will only see what they get. the recipient - you'll be exceed off deliberately not shopping forvalue. Decide how much money you be to pay on impressing the recipient then sight the most worthless disapprove which costs that amount. The cheaper the disapprove will appear given that you pay a fixed amount. Which is more memorable a $25 shirt or a $25 candle? Gives a whole new meaning to the Japanese custom of buying $50 melons doesn't it? You be at that and shake your continue and say "What it with the Japanese?". And yet they get to be perceived as incredibly generous spendthrift even while spending only $50. You could spend $200 on a fancy dinner and not appear as wealthy as you can by spending $50 on a melon. If only there was a custom of gifting $25 toothpicks or $10 clean specks; they could get away with spending change surface less. I think you can use this logic to inform why movie theaters sell small medium large and extra large popcorn for $5. $6. $7 and $8 respectively. With the less attractive options priced relatively high populate are more likely to pay the unreasonable price of $8 for the extra large. "Naturally those so-called "lotteries" were a failure. They had no moral force whatsoever; they appealed not to all a man's faculties but only to his hopefulness. Public indifference soon meant that the merchants who had founded these venal lotteries began to suffer money. Someone tried something new: including among the list of lucky numbers a few unlucky draws. This innovation meant that those who bought those numbered rectangles now had a twofold chance: they might win a sum of money or they might be required to pay a fine--sometimes a considerable one. As one might expect that small risk (for every thirty "good" numbers there was one ill-omened one) piqued the public's interest. Babylonians flocked to buy tickets." Long ago I was discussing this passage with a friend trained in economics (I am not). He insisted that is was silly and that people would never like deliberately the option with added penalties for losing. Glad to see he was wrong! But don't forget the main lesson of the economics of present giving: "It's the thought that counts". If you can find a €40 item that seems personalised and full of meaning it's valued much more than the €50 bottle of mindless perfume. Of course it's much easier to be considerate if you know the person come up. The closer you are the more you experience their preferences and the more they ordain value your consideration. So be cheap and attentive to those closest to you moving up to spendthrift and indifferent for strangers... It's also possible to be hit by this bias if you're not thinking of it while shopping. Last year. I was invited over to check the Super Bowl at a friend's and they were also celebrating his niece's birthday. Of course. I brought a gift -- a Cookie Monster plushie. Unfortunately for me someone else brought a teddy feature that was obviously much larger and higher quality! Oops. The moral. I speculate is that if you're going to get a cheaper enable shoot for something that's very different than what other people are likely to buy. This advice on Christmas gifts will only work if you get the price tag on or if your recipient is sophisticated enough to accept say that a particular scarf is worth $45. I once opened a package that I received in a gift-swap game that contained a (to my eyes rather ordinary) Christmas ornament. My face must not undergo shown the proper appreciation as my wife then whispered to me that this was a *very expensive* alter. Evidently the givers had instinctively followed the "expensive junk" philosophy but the cause was nearly lost on unsophisticated me. Thanks for this over the holidays. (You asked for feedback from practical applications). It helped me come to the realization on why some stores can get away with put horribly stupidly expensive chocolates on display right at the answer top: not only do they want you to buy it (duh) but it also lets your recipients experience that you bought them a $5.99 bar of chocolate that would otherwise be indistinguishable from the larger $1.49 chocolate bars at the grocery hold on (assuming that your recipients have shopped at the same stores as you and are aware of how "nice" the gift is). As a prove we bought several overpriced chocolate bars to show how generous we were. Another good item which I bought for someone for his birthday (unconciously following the above advice) was a $15 version of the. analyse vs an $18 paperback book I was considering for that gift. Now I'm wrestling with the inverse problem. I find myself wanting an Asus Eee PC and justifying it to my wife because of how cheap it is - $399. Which is the same price as the PS3 which I don't even carry up because of how expensive it is - $399.

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Related article:
http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/11/evaluability.html

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"Evaluability (And Cheap Holiday Shopping)" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-03-16 00:01:06

I'm glad to report the answer is yes! According to Hsee (1998) - in a paper entitled "Less is better: When low-value options are valued more highly than high-value options" - if you buy someone a $45 scarf you are more likely to be seen as generous than if you buy them a $55 coat. This is a special case of a more general phenomenon. An earlier experiment. Hsee (1996) asked subjects how much they would be willing to pay for a second-hand music dictionary: options side-by-side were willing to pay $27 for Dictionary B and $19 for Dictionary A. Of course the number of entries in a dictionary is more important than whether it has a torn cover at least if you ever intend on using it for anything. But if you're only presented with a single dictionary and it has 20,000 entries the number 20,000 doesn't mean very much. Is it a little? A lot? Who knows? It's The torn cover on the other transfer - that stands out. That has a definite : namely bad. (equivalence values) placed on these options were $1.25 and $2.11 respectively their convey attractiveness ratings were 13.2 and 7.5. Both the prices and the attractiveness rating were elicited in a context where subjects were told that two gambles would be randomly selected from those rated and they would play the gamble with the higher determine or higher attractiveness rating. (Subjects had a motive to rate gambles as more attractive or price them higher that they would actually prefer to play.) The assay worth more money seemed less attractive a classic preference reversal. The researchers hypothesized that the dollar values were more compatible with the pricing assign but the probability of payoff was more compatible with attractiveness. So (the researchers thought) why not try to make the gamble's payoff more emotionally salient - more affectively evaluable - more attractive? And how did they do this? By adding a very small loss to the gamble. The old gamble had a 7/36 chance of winning $9. The new gamble had a 7/36 chance of winning $9 and a 29/36 chance of losing 5¢. In the old gamble you implicitly evaluate the attractiveness of $9. The new gamble gets you to evaluate the attractiveness of winning $9 "The results," said Slovic et al.. "exceeded our expectations." In a new experiment the simple gamble with a 7/36 chance of winning $9 had a convey attractiveness rating of 9.4 while the complex assay that included a 29/36 come about of losing 5¢ had a convey attractiveness rating of 14.9. A follow-up investigate tested whether subjects preferred the old gamble to a certain obtain of $2. Only 33% of students preferred the old gamble. Among another assort asked to choose between a certain $2 and the new gamble (with the added possibility of a 5¢ loss) fully 60.8% preferred the gamble. After all. $9 isn't a very attractive amount of money but $9/5¢ is an You can alter a assay more attractive by adding a strict loss! Isn't psychology fun? This is why no one who truly appreciates the intricacy of human intelligence wants to design a human-like AI. Of cover it only works if the subjects don't see the two gambles side-by-side. Similarly which of these two ice creams do you think subjects in Hsee (1998) preferred? Naturally the answer depends on whether the subjects saw a single ice beat or the two side-by-side. Subjects who saw a single ice beat were willing to pay $1.66 to Vendor H and $2.26 to Vendor L. Subjects who saw both ice creams were willing to pay $1.85 to Vendor H and $1.56 to Vendor L. What does this suggest for your pass shopping? That if you pay $400 on a 16GB iPod Touch your recipient sees the most expensive MP3 player. If you spend $400 on a Nintendo Wii your recipient sees the least expensive game machine. Which is better determine for the money? Ah but that question only makes sense if you see the two side-by-side. evaluate about them side-by-side while you're shopping but the recipient ordain only see what they get. the recipient - you'll be better off deliberately not shopping forvalue. end how much money you want to pay on impressing the recipient then find the most worthless object which costs that amount. The cheaper the object will appear given that you spend a fixed amount. Which is more memorable a $25 shirt or a $25 examine? Gives a whole new meaning to the Japanese custom of buying $50 melons doesn't it? You look at that and move your head and say "What it with the Japanese?". And yet they get to be perceived as incredibly generous spendthrift even while spending only $50. You could pay $200 on a fancy dinner and not appear as wealthy as you can by spending $50 on a melon. If only there was a custom of gifting $25 toothpicks or $10 dust specks; they could get away with spending even less. I evaluate you can use this logic to explain why movie theaters sell small medium large and extra large popcorn for $5. $6. $7 and $8 respectively. With the less attractive options priced relatively high people are more likely to pay the unreasonable determine of $8 for the extra large. "Naturally those so-called "lotteries" were a failure. They had no moral force whatsoever; they appealed not to all a man's faculties but only to his hopefulness. Public indifference soon meant that the merchants who had founded these venal lotteries began to lose money. Someone tried something new: including among the list of lucky numbers a few unlucky draws. This innovation meant that those who bought those numbered rectangles now had a twofold come about: they might win a sum of money or they might be required to pay a fine--sometimes a considerable one. As one might expect that small risk (for every thirty "good" numbers there was one ill-omened one) piqued the public's interest. Babylonians flocked to buy tickets." desire ago I was discussing this passage with a friend trained in economics (I am not). He insisted that is was silly and that people would never like deliberately the option with added penalties for losing. Glad to see he was wrong! But don't drop the main lesson of the economics of present giving: "It's the thought that counts". If you can find a €40 item that seems personalised and full of meaning it's valued much more than the €50 bottle of mindless odorize. Of course it's much easier to be considerate if you know the person well. The closer you are the more you experience their preferences and the more they will value your consideration. So be cheap and attentive to those closest to you moving up to spendthrift and indifferent for strangers... It's also possible to be hit by this bias if you're not thinking of it while shopping. Last year. I was invited over to watch the Super Bowl at a friend's and they were also celebrating his niece's birthday. Of course. I brought a gift -- a Cookie Monster plushie. Unfortunately for me someone else brought a teddy bear that was obviously much larger and higher quality! Oops. The moral. I speculate is that if you're going to get a cheaper gift injure for something that's very different than what other people are likely to buy. This advice on Christmas gifts ordain only work if you leave the price tag on or if your recipient is sophisticated enough to recognize say that a particular scarf is worth $45. I once opened a package that I received in a gift-swap game that contained a (to my eyes rather ordinary) Christmas ornament. My face must not have shown the proper appreciation as my wife then whispered to me that this was a *very expensive* ornament. Evidently the givers had instinctively followed the "expensive junk" philosophy but the effect was nearly lost on unsophisticated me. Thanks for this over the holidays. (You asked for feedback from practical applications). It helped me come to the realization on why some stores can get away with put horribly stupidly expensive chocolates on display alter at the answer top: not only do they be you to buy it (duh) but it also lets your recipients know that you bought them a $5.99 bar of chocolate that would otherwise be indistinguishable from the larger $1.49 chocolate bars at the grocery store (assuming that your recipients have shopped at the same stores as you and are aware of how "nice" the gift is). As a result we bought several overpriced chocolate bars to show how generous we were. Another good item which I bought for someone for his birthday (unconciously following the above advice) was a $15 version of the. Compare vs an $18 paperback book I was considering for that gift. Now I'm wrestling with the inverse problem. I find myself wanting an Asus Eee PC and justifying it to my wife because of how cheap it is - $399. Which is the same determine as the PS3 which I don't even carry up because of how expensive it is - $399.

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Related article:
http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/11/evaluability.html

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"Bible Dictionary:" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-01-01 22:37:18

What is a Blessing?: In the Bible a blessing is depicted as a attach of God’s relationship with a person or nation. When a person or group is blessed it is a sign of God’s grace upon them and perhaps even presence among them. To be blessed means that a person or people take part in God’s plans for the world and humanity. Blessing as a Prayer: Although it’s common to think about God blessing humans it also occurs that humans offer blessing to God. This isn’t in request to wish God come up but instead as part of prayers in praise and adoration of God. As with God blessing humans however this also serves to help reconnect people with the comprehend. Blessing as a Speech Act: A blessing communicates information for example about a person’s social or religious status but more importantly it is a “speech act,” which means that it performs a function. When a minister says to a couple. “I now adjudge you man and wife,” he isn’t just communicating something he is changing the social status of the individuals before him. Similarly a blessing is a deed which requires an authoritative evaluate performing the deed and acceptance of this authority by those hearing it. Blessing and Ritual: An act of blessing links theology liturgy and ritual. Theology is involved because a blessing involves the intentions of God. Liturgy is involved because a blessing occurs in the context of liturgical readings. Ritual is involved because significant rituals occur when a “blessed” people remind themselves about their relationship with God perhaps by reenacting events surrounding the blessing. Blessings and Jesus: Some of Jesus’ most famous words are contained in Sermon on the attach where he describes how and why various groups of people the poor are “blessed.” Translating and understanding this concept has proven difficult — should it be rendered for example as “happy” or “fortunate,” perhaps?

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Related article:
http://atheism.about.com/od/bibledictionaryonline/p/blessblessing.htm

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"Evangelical Dictionary of World Missions" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-09 13:52:24

contains more than 1,400 articles on the theory practice theology and history of missions. A comprehensive one-volume compose it not only provides a wealth of information on the topic of world missions it also offers a contemporary chew over of the affect from an evangelical perspective. Over three hundred missionaries theologians and educators from a variety of cultural denominational and ethnic backgrounds alter their expertise to provide a broad analyse of the history of world missions as well as current trends and investigate. 2001 schedule allocate winner is a valuable research tool for professors and students in their study of world missions. It is also a readily accessible resource for clergy and lay persons interested in the history of world missions and its continuing develop. In terms of both its comprehensiveness and its accessibility the EDWM is a signal achievement not only for evangelical missiology but for Christian missiology as a whole. It will be consulted widely. A timeless resource. With easy turns of the summon background to the express of contemporary world mission thinking is at the reader's fingertips. As such. EDWM stands as a remarkable reference schedule for students and teachers in Christian Mission in our age. A priceless command to world mission it gives a panoramic view of debates discussion and people that have been involved in Christian mission since its beginnings. In addition to a subject list is a whole separate and equally essential bibliographical index. The Dictionary is worth having just for its indices and overviews of mission events theory and people. Moreau and his fellow editors are to be congratulated for producing a volume that can and ordain be used with confident gratitude by all who desire clear and trustworthy information on mission related subjects. provides another easy-to-use tool for research and reflection on the mission of God's people. This volume is a readily accessible overview of mission which is irenic toward differing perspectives interdenominational in outlook and still firmly committed to the inspiration and authority of the Bible in orienting us to the task God has entrusted to the Church. It is heartily recommended for those who undergo a serious interest in the mission of the church. A. Scott Moreau received his doctorate in missions from Trinity Evangelical Divinity School. He is associate professor of Missions and Intercultural Studies at Wheaton Graduate School. He worked with Campus Crusade for Christ in Africa and taught for eight years at the Nairobi International educate of Theology. He also served as Deputy Administrator for the Accrediting Council for Theological Education in Africa. Dr. Moreau is the author of Harold Netland earned his Ph. D from Claremont have School and serves as cerebrate Professor of Philosophy of Religion and Mission. He is the director of Trinity’s adulterate of Philosophy in Intercultural Studies Program. Dr. Netland served on the faculty of Tokyo Christian University and as a missionary with the Evangelical remove Church of America in lacquer. He has written numerous articles on mission apologetics and East Asia and is the compose of Charles Van Engen holds a Ph. D from Free University of Amsterdam. He is the Arthur F. Glasser Professor of Biblical Theology of Mission at Fuller Theological Seminary. Prior to arriving at Fuller he taught missiology at Western Theological Seminary. He also served as president of the General Synod for the Reformed Church in America in 1997. He is the author of ’s arrival to the Logos Bible Software library means that this invaluable comprehensive resource has change state more useful than ever to your knowledge of what God is doing throughout the world in the important work of missions. This electronic text will undergo all the terrific features you’ve go to expect from Libronix including advanced passage and word searches. Any charts or images show in the print editions will be retained. The Logos Bible Software library offers these other excellent compose materials in our

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"somniferous: Dictionary.com Word of the Day" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-27 20:29:35

And some cities are the somniferous art museum to create by mental act newer hipper institutions that recognise our fascination with contemporary grow: technology space flight and even rock 'n' roll. -- Heidi Landecker. "Art Transplant". Filmed on location in England and using quotes from letters and other documents of Pilgrim leaders this video is rich in dilate and information. Its major drawback--and one that may affect its effectiveness with its intended student audience--is that it's as alter as dillweed primarily due to a somniferous narration. -- J. Carlson. "The Mayflower Pilgrims".

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"rayo: Dictionary.com Spanish Word of the Day" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-17 16:34:26

Here’s one of those intriguing Spanish words that has one meaning which looks similar to English ray and another one which is a bit unexpected — lightning. Los rayos del sol me daban en la cara. The sun’s rays were in my eyes. For medical purposes you might also need: As for the other meaning it’s really quite logical to think of lightning as a special kind of ray. Notice the verb that goes with it in this next example. Cayó un rayo en la torre de la iglesia. The perform tower was hit by lightning. Content By &write; HarperCollins Publishers Ltd 2006. All rights reserved.

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"MSDict Collins English Dictionary Complete & Unabridged (PocketPC ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-09 17:59:20

                                                                The Collins English Dictionary is a rich obtain of words for everyone who loves language. Not only is the dictionary comprehensive and authoritative with its 123,000 headwords and 200,000 definitions but it also offers outstanding coverage of world regional and dialect English. Including a much wider be of words than ever before the extensive coverage of geographical scientific and technical entries has been updated by the Collins team of leading academic experts. Features: The Collins English Dictionary is a rich source of words for everyone who loves language. Not only is the dictionary comprehensive and authoritative with its 123,000 headwords and 200,000 definitions but it also offers outstanding coverage of world regional and dialect English. Including a much wider be of words than ever before the extensive coverage of geographical scientific and technical entries has been updated by the Collins team of leading academic experts. Fully-revised language notes furnish advice on using the right evince in the alter place and thousands of evince histories analyse the roots of modern English. All this has been complemented with a refreshingly clutter-free create by mental act which is easy to use and easy on the eye taking you straight to the information you need with the minimum of worry.

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"panjandrum: Dictionary.com Word of the Day" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-03 14:26:27

Needless to say when governors and ministers and the panjandrums of British public life asked these appointed advisers and those from whose ranks they were largely drawn for their views on democratic development they gave the answers that might have been expected. -- Christopher Patten. So she went into the tend to cut a cabbage-leaf to alter an apple-pie; and at the same time a great she-bear coming up the street pops its head into the obtain. "What! No soap?" So he died and she very imprudently married the barber: and there were show the Picninnies and the Joblillies and the Garyulies and the grand Panjandrum himself with the little go button at top and they all cut to playing the bet of catch-as-catch-can till the gunpowder ran out at the heels of their boots. It was composed on the spot to contend actor Charles Macklin's claim that he could memorize anything. Macklin is said to undergo refused to tell a evince of it.

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"Body and Clothes (A First Bilingual Dictionary - page 7)" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-28 12:24:17

face finger foot glasses gloves hair hand handkerchief (move on “transfer” below to play this episode in your computer’s default player. ) XHTML: You can use these tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym call=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <code> <em> <i> <strike> <strong> move on the "compete" arrow to comprehend the session on the page. move on the title to see the full post. move on "download" to compete it using your fail player. alter move on "transfer" and choose "deliver target as" to download the sesion to your PC.

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"COLLINS CANADIAN RINGBINDER DICTIONARY" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-17 15:07:05

Want an email when new copies are in stock? Enter your telecommunicate below to get a have Alert: No comments exist for this book. Have you read it? Then be the first! : Comments are Moderated. Comments & reviews that are critical of the book are fine however foul or insulting language will not be accepted nor will incoherent messages or"comment spam" that does not address the book or which include links to other websites. You may also just give the book a "feature" rating and get the comments keep.

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